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2024-12-14 06:27:42

Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.U.S. and cloth oil fell 0.3 USD in short term, and now they are reported at 70.08 USD/barrel and 73.50 USD/barrel respectively.Mackler M, Governor of the Bank of Canada: (Regarding the potential tariff policy) We can't make policies based on what may happen. If the (US) tariffs are implemented as promised, it will cause serious damage to the Canadian economy.


Since January 1, 2025, Chongqing maternity allowance has been issued to the insured female employees themselves. Recently, Chongqing Medical and Social Security Bureau issued the Notice on Adjusting the Payment Method for Maternity Insurance Benefits, and adjusted the payment method for maternity insurance benefits. From January 1, 2025, the application and method of maternity insurance benefits for the insured shall be applied by the insured himself or his client and issued to him by the medical insurance agency. In order to optimize the processing flow of maternity allowance, the service of "enjoy the maternity allowance immediately upon application" has been opened, that is, when the designated medical institutions in Chongqing settle the maternity medical expenses (delivery and termination of pregnancy), the medical insurance system automatically obtains the maternity-related information to calculate the maternity allowance, and the maternity allowance is paid to the insured after being approved by the medical insurance agency, and the insured or their clients do not need to provide relevant information to the medical insurance agency to declare the offline maternity allowance.If Trump wants to curb inflation, the first thing to do is to build more houses. If Trump wants to push down inflation in the United States to a more tolerable level, he needs housing costs to help him. In this regard, the influence of the Federal Reserve is limited. It is unclear whether inflation will return to the Fed's 2% target in a sustained and convincing manner, at least not until housing inflation is further eased. In October, the national average rent in the United States was $209 per month, slightly lower than that in September, but still higher than the same period last year by 3.3%. Lisa Studt Vanter, chief economist of Bright MLS, said, "It is expected that with the passage of time, we will start to see the year-on-year rent growth slow down, but it just feels like it will take a long time. Some measures proposed by Trump will lead to rising inflation. Compared with six months ago, the prospect of continuing to move towards 2% is less certain. Aiming at the housing supply problem is something that the federal government can do meaningfully. Of course, this is not something that can be done in the short term. "IEA Monthly Report: Despite the rising demand, the oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that although OPEC+extended the reduction of oil supply and the demand forecast was slightly higher than expected, the global oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. In its monthly oil market report, the agency said that its forecast of global oil demand growth in 2025 was raised from 990,000 barrels per day last month to 1.1 million barrels per day, "mainly from Asian countries, especially affected by China's recent stimulus measures".


The Syrian Sharm el-Liberation Organization said that it would disband the Syrian government security forces. On December 11th, Giulani, leader of the Syrian Sharm el-Liberation Organization, said in a statement to Reuters that he would disband the Syrian government security forces and close the prison.The State Council approved the Hefei Land and Space Master Plan (2021-2035), which proposed to improve the functional structure and spatial layout of the city, coordinate the industrial layout, comprehensive transportation, facility allocation and land use, and give priority to ensuring the space needs of advanced manufacturing industries, scientific apparatus and other scientific and technological innovations. Build an international air cargo hub and a national railway hub, improve the service level of logistics infrastructure, improve the external and internal channels of multi-directional Unicom and multimodal transport, and build a safe, convenient, green and low-carbon urban comprehensive transportation system. Coordinate water conservancy, energy, environment, communications, national defense and other infrastructure spaces, actively and steadily promote the construction of "flat and emergency dual-use" public infrastructure, optimize the regional layout of disaster prevention, mitigation and relief facilities, and improve the security and resilience of national space.Interbank certificates of deposit funds are popular. In the context of the current downward trend of non-bank interbank deposit rates, interbank deposit rates are relatively more attractive, and interbank deposit funds have recently gained popularity. Since December, the 7-day holding fund of AAA index of China Securities Interbank Deposits issued by BlackRock Fund and Agricultural Bank of China Credit Suisse Fund has reached the upper limit of 5 billion yuan, and triggered proportional placement. Both funds are partially confirmed by the principle of "doomsday ratio confirmation", and the doomsday confirmation ratio is 73.36% and 27.02% respectively. In addition, Huatai Bairui Fund and China-Canada Fund also imposed subscription restrictions on their 7-day holding funds of the AAA Index of China Securities Interbank Deposits. From December 11th, the amount of multiple cumulative subscriptions (including conversion and fixed investment) for a single fund account of Huatai Bairui CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index 7-day holding fund shall not exceed 100,000 yuan; From December 6th, the subscription amount of a single investor of the 7-day holding fund of China-Canada CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index will not exceed 10 million yuan (except for individual investors and public asset management products). (CSI Taurus)

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